NBA Play of the Day - Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat
What had recently developed into a bit of a rivalry for the Heat will just be another home game Wednesday night against the Pacers. The Heat will look for their third straight win, facing a 2-6 Pacers team that has been decimated by injuries. With Chris Bosh leading the way, Miami should have no issues, even with an improved offensive game from Indiana center Roy Hibbert.
AccuScore has the Heat as 63.7 percent favorites to win. Indiana, however, has a 61.7 percent chance of covering a +8 spread. The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 94-90. There is nearly a 62 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 190.5.
In terms of close (four points or fewer) and big (10 points or more) win potential, Miami has twice the chance of Indiana at a big win. Both (Indiana-10.8 percent, Miami-14.1 percent) have a fairly comparable chance at a close win.
AccuScore Box Score: The biggest difference in the box score is the turnovers. On average, Indiana turns the ball over six more times than does Miami in the simulations.
Projected Top Player Chris Bosh: 18 points (7-15 FG, 4-5 FT, 1-2 3PM), 7 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 block, 1 steal, 1 turnover
Supporting Trend: The Pacers are 8-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 11 games on the road.
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